Retired Adm. James Stavridis predicts that the Ukrainian war will end in 4 to 6 months, similar to the Korean War.
On Sunday, the ex-NATO supreme allied commander predicted “ongoing animosity, kind of a frozen conflict.”
A DoD official said last week that US-supplied HIMARS were having a “significant impact” in assisting Ukraine against Russia.
Former NATO supreme allied commander for Europe James Stavridis predicted on Sunday that the Russia-Ukraine conflict would likely end in four to six months, with a “frozen conflict” ending similar to the Korean War.
Stavridis discussed the state of the war with New York businessman John Catsimatidis on WABC 770 AM radio, saying that it was “extremely obvious” that the conflict had “bogged down on both sides.”
“The Ukrainians are fighting back very hard,” Stavridis said. “[Vladimir] Putin’s war plans have been shown to be ineffective. He has gained some territory since the beginning of the conflict.”
He went on: “I see this one ending like the Korean War, with an armistice, a militarized zone between the two sides, ongoing animosity, and a kind of frozen conflict. Look for it in the next four to six months. Neither side can go much further than that.”
The Korean War was fought between North and South Korea between 1950 and 1953, with the then-Soviet Union supporting North Korea and the United States assisting South Korea. The conflict between the two countries ceased with an armistice in July 1953, which created a demilitarized zone.
However, because no formal peace treaty was signed in the ensuing years, the two countries still technically remain at war.
Last week, a Pentagon official stated that US-supplied High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems, or HIMARS, were having a “significant impact” in assisting Ukraine against Russian military forces.
“I believe there has been a significant impact on what is happening on the front lines,” the official said on Friday. “When you consider that the Ukrainians have been discussing a number of the targets [they] are hitting… they’re spending a lot of time striking targets like ammunition, supplies, other logistical supplies, and command and control. All of these factors have a direct impact on the ability to conduct front-line operations.”
The official added that Ukraine was taking more time to to strike “targets like ammunition, supplies, other logistical supplies, command and control.”
Ukraine announced last week that a missile strike had destroyed a Russian ammunition warehouse in the city of Nova Kakhovka, located in the Kherson Oblast.
In May, Stavridis informed Catsimatidis of some of the war’s ongoing issues, including Russia’s unprecedented number of casualties among its higher ranks.
“There is no comparable situation in modern history in terms of generals’ deaths. On the Russian side, we’ve seen at least a dozen, if not more, Russian generals killed in the last two months “At the time, he stated. Stavridis added that “not a single general was lost in actual combat” while the US engaged in wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.
“In modern history, there is no situation comparable in terms of the deaths of generals. … Here, on the Russian side, in a two-month period, we’ve seen at least a dozen, if not more, Russian generals killed,” he said at the time.
Stavridis added that “not a single general was lost in actual combat” while the US engaged in wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.
